How will F1 Monaco GP's two-stop-minimum race play out?
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
- Lando Norris, McLaren
- A banner representing Ferrari's Monegasque driver Charles Leclerc as a Saint
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
- Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
- Oscar Piastri, McLaren
- Ferrari front wing detail
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
- Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
- Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
- Lando Norris, McLaren
- Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing with Éric Boullier
- Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
- Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
- Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
- George Russell, Mercedes
- Nico Hulkenberg, Sauber
- Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
- Lance Stroll, Aston Martin Racing
- Esteban Ocon, Haas F1 Team
- Alex Albon, Williams
- Christian Horner, Red Bull Racing
- Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
- Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
- Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
- Adrian Newey, Managing Technical Partner of Aston Martin F1
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing, Alex Albon, Williams
- Oscar Piastri, McLaren
- Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
- Pierre Gasly, Alpine, Franco Colapinto, Alpine
- Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
- Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
- Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
- George Russell, Mercedes
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
- Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
- Alex Albon, Williams
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
- Lando Norris, McLaren
- Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
- Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls, Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
- Oliver Bearman, Haas F1 Team
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing, Gabriel Bortoleto, Sauber
- Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
- Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
- Esteban Ocon, Haas F1 Team, Oliver Bearman, Haas F1 Team
- Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
- Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
- Jack Doohan, Alpine
- Aston Martin F1 Team tribute to Eddie Jordan
- Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
A contrivance? On the face of it, enforcing a two-stop minimum for the Monaco Grand Prix seems like one – although at the same time, a plot-generating device one might think nothing of, had Formula 1 ratified the idea 50 years ago.
The effect of ensuring every driver takes at least one additional stop is completely uncharted at this point. It could have cataclysmic ramifications for those involved in the race – equally, it has just as much chance of adding absolutely nothing.
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For clarification, the addition of a second mandatory stop does not mean that drivers have to use the C6 tyre in the race – the two-compound minimum still exists. They may choose to, depending on how the race shapes up, but it's entirely down to the discretion of how the teams use their allowance of pitstops.
This will vary considerably across the field. It's natural that those occupying the front-most positions will be much more averse to risk, simply because there's far more to lose; for those at the rear, banking a stop early and hoping for clear air to set some laps unencumbered by the effect of traffic seems like a realistic strategy.
But what if everyone in the second half of the field does it? In that case, the 10 cars are simply transposed slightly further down the road, bisecting the train into two smaller parades. What if there's a safety car, or a VSC, or something else that interrupts the strategy? There's thousands of different permutations here.
Race teams are accustomed to running the scenarios like this, so they'll be well armed for whatever situations come their way. But when it comes to Monaco and the overwhelming power of track position, strategists will be challenging the status quo around the circuit in order to take it. Think of it like a two-stop debt – how and when do you pay off the arrears?
"I think there's quite a few obvious scenarios and pointers. I think not one team will have them exclusively," Nico Hulkenberg said in the lead-in to the weekend.

Nico Hulkenberg, Sauber
Photo by: Jayce Illman / Getty Images
"But it depends where you start; it depends where you are after lap one. You can go through all the scenarios now, but it really depends. And then, again, if something happens later in the race, that puts things on its head again, potentially."
Drivers in the bottom half of the field after the first lap might feel more enfranchised to pit at the end of the first lap but, at the same time, they have to react to what the drivers around them do. Do you try to undercut the car ahead, follow them in, or use the free air to overcut? Engineers will be caught on the hop and, strategically, not reacting to events is just as important as reacting to them in real time. It'll all depend on how the field is spread out on track.
As for the drivers towards the front, the dynamic changes. The driver in second place might try to make the undercut work if they feel they've got more pace on the leader.
Equally, the leader could attempt to pull the pin early and break-build to garner a much simpler strategic advantage. After all, a four-, five-second leap at the start of the race could buy an early stop.
Oscar Piastri still believes that pole will retain that advantage, allowing the driver who claims the front-row seat in qualifying more latitude to make the difference here.
"I still think 90-something percent about Monaco is qualifying," Piastri explained. "I think it's very complicated now with these two stops. Also, just using three sets of tyres because if it's red flags like we saw last year, it's not quite as simple as what it was. So it's definitely going to throw a spanner in the works for everyone.

Oscar Piastri, McLaren MCL30
Photo by: Erik Junius
"But I think if you qualify on pole, unless something goes dramatically wrong, it's going to be hard to be beaten. I think you can roll the dice a bit more, but there's a lot of strategic elements involved.
"Will it increase overtaking? No. But it will probably lead to a more complicated result.
"If you want to drive 10 seconds a lap slower, you can. It's quite different to a normal pace. But it does make things very difficult because you have the most to lose. That's kind of the biggest thing. Everyone else behind you can take a few more risks. There's different team strategies that you can deploy."
Piastri's likely right about spectacle; although there will be a range of tyre offsets on display at Monaco, it's not going to work the kind of magic that makes the sole DRS zone into Sainte Devote a sudden slam-dunk passing area. It's as much of a test for the team as it is for the drivers in making the magic happen.
Regardless, per Lewis Hamilton, it should offer something new: "If you keep doing the same thing over and over and over, you're going to get the same result. I think it's cool that they're trying something different. Whether or not it's the answer, we'll find out this weekend.

Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
Photo by: Sam Bagnall / Motorsport Images via Getty Images
"It's definitely going to be different to what we've had in the last year," he added. "Whether that's better or not, I have no idea, I can't predict. But I like that we have something different."
But even the best laid plans go awry when there's a safety car, or a VSC – Monaco being a circuit where VSC timing really matters. While safety cars often disrupt results and offer opportunities to other teams to make a strategic gamble, this year's race might be more interesting if it remains safety-car free.
After all, everyone will just pit if there's a safety car – removing one of the opportunities for a rear-guard team to do something wild with strategy.
"It changes quite a lot the format of how we thought about things for so long," Esteban Ocon explained - being one of the drivers who may stand to benefit if Haas chooses to go off-piste with its strategy (which it often does...). "Which is a good thing, because it creates uncertainty, it creates different scenarios. And that's going to be interesting.

Esteban Ocon, Haas F1 Team
Photo by: Peter Fox / Getty Images
"It's usually complicated enough around Monaco to get everything right. But you don't think too much about that strategy until someday with what you are given. But it's going to be different this year.
"I think there's going to be quite a lot of people trying different things. There's a bit of a feeling on Saturday afternoon, normally for 12th or 15th you're kind of stuck with it.
"But now your guys can sit down and think, right, how can we get into the top six or even better? This happens, that happens, first pitstop, there's more opportunity. The guys in the front, they try and extend, they try and clear the window from the back and then box into it.
"And there is a big management queue. And then the last five laps before people pit, they just push to create the gap. Now there is two times this opportunity."
For many years, Monaco has effectively been decided on a Saturday. Now, there's a genuine chance for someone to throw caution to the wind in pursuit of a Sunday surprise – and this is not a chance only reserved for the top teams.
It might be a bit of a lottery but, if someone gets the strategy right, they could walk away with a colossal payday.
Additional reporting by Oleg Karpov, Mark Mann-Bryans
Photos from Monaco GP - Thursday
Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
Sam Bloxham / Motorsport Images via Getty Images
Lando Norris, McLaren
Lando Norris, McLaren
Jayce Illman / Getty Images
A banner representing Ferrari's Monegasque driver Charles Leclerc as a Saint
A banner representing Ferrari's Monegasque driver Charles Leclerc as a Saint
Christophe Simon / AFP via Getty Images
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
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Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
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Oscar Piastri, McLaren
Oscar Piastri, McLaren
Jayce Illman / Getty Images
Ferrari front wing detail
Ferrari front wing detail
Roberto Chinchero
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
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Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
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Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
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Lando Norris, McLaren
Lando Norris, McLaren
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Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing with Éric Boullier
Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing with Éric Boullier
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Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
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Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
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Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
Jayce Illman / Getty Images
George Russell, Mercedes
George Russell, Mercedes
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Nico Hulkenberg, Sauber
Nico Hulkenberg, Sauber
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Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
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Lance Stroll, Aston Martin Racing
Lance Stroll, Aston Martin Racing
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Esteban Ocon, Haas F1 Team
Esteban Ocon, Haas F1 Team
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Alex Albon, Williams
Alex Albon, Williams
Jayce Illman / Getty Images
Christian Horner, Red Bull Racing
Christian Horner, Red Bull Racing
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Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
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Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
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Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
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Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
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Adrian Newey, Managing Technical Partner of Aston Martin F1
Adrian Newey, Managing Technical Partner of Aston Martin F1
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Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing, Alex Albon, Williams
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing, Alex Albon, Williams
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Oscar Piastri, McLaren
Oscar Piastri, McLaren
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Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
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Pierre Gasly, Alpine, Franco Colapinto, Alpine
Pierre Gasly, Alpine, Franco Colapinto, Alpine
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Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
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Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
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Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
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George Russell, Mercedes
George Russell, Mercedes
Mark Sutton / Formula 1 via Getty Images
Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
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Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
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Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
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Alex Albon, Williams
Alex Albon, Williams
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Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
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Lando Norris, McLaren
Lando Norris, McLaren
Mark Sutton / Formula 1 via Getty Images
Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin Racing
Clive Rose / Getty Images
Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls, Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls, Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
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Oliver Bearman, Haas F1 Team
Oliver Bearman, Haas F1 Team
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Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
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Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing, Gabriel Bortoleto, Sauber
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing, Gabriel Bortoleto, Sauber
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Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull Racing
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Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
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Esteban Ocon, Haas F1 Team, Oliver Bearman, Haas F1 Team
Esteban Ocon, Haas F1 Team, Oliver Bearman, Haas F1 Team
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Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
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Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
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Jack Doohan, Alpine
Jack Doohan, Alpine
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Aston Martin F1 Team tribute to Eddie Jordan
Aston Martin F1 Team tribute to Eddie Jordan
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Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing
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