tracking the tropics | july 9

So far, the National Hurricane Center is not tracking any systems. However, the WPC's long-range forecast shows a 20% chance of tropical development from July 16 through July 22.

slow northern gulf low

At this time, it's not clear what could potentially form.

The Gulf is expected to have a higher-than-average chance of being directly impacted this hurricane season, while the U.S. East Coast is expected to have an at or even below-average chance of experiencing landfall.

2025 atlantic storm names

The area of interest aligns with the hot spot identified in WESH's long-range forecast, referred to as the "Slow Gulf Low."

Slow Gulf Low

First spotted in November, this part of the pattern has been slow and seems to focus energy from Louisiana eastward to the Florida Panhandle.

The concern with this part of our long-range pattern is the lack of steering currents.

This is a typically very slow-moving system, so if anything tropical forms in this, a big rain event could ensue.

While this is the main part of this pattern, each time there was a low east of Florida. Although it has never caused any coastal impacts, it's at least worth mentioning.

What to expect

The GFS model suggests that a weak area of energy is developing in the region. However, it is poorly organized.

At this time, it is too early to determine the severity of the possible impacts.

The next named storm will be called Dexter.

Hurricane season 2025

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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